Monday Night Football AI Match Picks! – November 4th, 2024

Monday Night Football Player Props: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers

As the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, here are some strong player prop picks to consider based on recent performances and matchup insights.

1. Kareem Hunt – Over 15.5 Rush Attempts (-130; BetMGM)

Since joining the Chiefs, Hunt has taken on a significant workload, recording at least 21 carries in three consecutive games. With the Chiefs favored by nearly 10 points, expect them to lean heavily on the run game, especially if they build a lead. Hunt’s consistent touches make the over on 15.5 rush attempts a solid bet.

2. Baker Mayfield – Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+146; FanDuel)

Mayfield has proven to be a touchdown threat this season, hitting at least two touchdown passes in five straight games. Even with the potential for a challenging game script, Mayfield has shown resilience and can capitalize during garbage time, making the over on 1.5 touchdowns a compelling option.

3. Mecole Hardman – Over 7.5 Receiving Yards (-110; DraftKings)

Hardman may not be the primary focus of the Chiefs’ offense, but he’s been more involved than this line suggests. Targeted on 18% of his routes, Hardman has exceeded 8 yards in three consecutive games. Given the projected usage in this matchup, betting the over on 7.5 receiving yards looks favorable.

4. Patrick Mahomes – Passing Yards Under 275.5

Mahomes has struggled to consistently surpass the 275-yard mark recently, particularly against tough defenses. With the Chiefs focusing more on the run game, the under on his passing yards is worth considering.

5. Chiefs Defense – Total Sacks Over 3.5

With Tampa Bay’s offensive line facing challenges, the Chiefs’ defense should capitalize on opportunities for sacks, making the over on 3.5 sacks a reasonable prediction.